Ingendo zo Gutega muri Ruleti · Iyongerekana ryemeza · iminota 8

Ingendo ya Paroli muri Ruleti (Martingale Ihindukiranye)

Ingendo ya Paroli muri ruleti ikuba kabiri inyuma y'itsinzi kandi isubira mu ntango inyuma y'igihombo canke inyuma y'intsinzi zitatu zikurikirana.

Inyishu ngufi

Ntitsinda uruziga; ihindura gusa ukuntu ibihombo biza. Paroli ishira mu ngorane itego fatizo rimwe ry'amahera yawe bwite kuri buri muzingi kandi igasubira gutega intsinzi ku bisigaye. Igihombo citezweimibareIgihombo citezweAgaciro kitezwe gakubwe n'amahera yose yateze; ni amahera y'impuzandengo atakara mu gihe c'ugukina canke mu gihe runaka.Soma vyose → ntigihinduka.

intumbero
intsinzi 3 · ibice 7
p(intsinzi 3)
11,5%
inyungu ya kazino
2,70%
ingorane ntarengwa
igice 1 c'amahera yawe

Kurikira ubwo buryo

Itsinzi ikujana intambwe imwe imbere. Igihombo, canke itsinzi ya gatatu, bigusubiza ku ntango.

124Tsinda
amahera y'itego akurikira1ivyavuyemwo gushika ubu0inzunguruka0

Amahera y'itego n'ivyavuyemwo biharurwa mu bice vy'itego ry'intango.

Uburyo bwa Paroli muri ruleti bukora gute?

Tega igiceamaheraIgiceAmahera y'itego y'ishingiro uburyo canke umukinyi akoresha. Iyongerekana ridondorwa mu bice kugira ngo rikore ku meza ayo ari yo yose.Soma vyose → kimwe. Utsinze, siga vyose ku meza: itego rikurikira ni bibiri. Utsinze kandi, ni bine. Utsinze ubugira gatatu, fata inyungu y'ibice indwi usubire kuri kimwe. Uhomvye aho ari ho hose, usubira na ho kuri kimwe. Ubwo ni bwo buryo bwose. Inyuma y'itsinzi rya mbere uba utega ivyo watsinze, rero ivyo amahera yo gukinishaamaheraAmahera yo gukinishaAmahera yose yashizwe ku ruhande yo gukina. Gucunga amahera yo gukinisha ni uguhitamwo ayo ushobora gushira mu kaga kuri buri tego no kuri buri gihe c'ugukina.Soma vyose → yawe bwite ashobora gutakaza cane mu muzingi uwo ari wo wose ni igice kimwe. Intsinzi zitatu za rimwe kuri rimwe zikurikirana ziboneka ku gushobokaimibareUgushobokaUgushoboka kw'ivyavuyemwo, kuva kuri 0 gushika kuri 1 canke 0% gushika 100%. Inomero imwe: 1/37 = 2,70%.Soma vyose → kwa (18/37)³ = 11,5%, nk'umuzingi umwe mu icenda.

intambweamahera y'itego (ibice)amahera yawe bwite ari mu ngoranenyakuri iri tego rihomvyenyakuri iri tego ritsinze
111−1+1, ja ku ntambwe 2
221−1+3, ja ku ntambwe 3
341−1+7, umuzingi urarangiye
ugushoboka kwo gushikaintambwe 2: 48,6% · intambwe 3: 23,7% · kurangira: 11,5%
Ico ari co cose kiba, umuzingi ntutwara ibirenze igice kimwe c'amahera yawe bwite. Imizingi myinshi itwara ivyo nyene.

Igihe c'ugukina gisa gute?

Gutakaza buhoro buhoro n'isimba rimwe na rimwe. Iyumvire kugura incuro nyinshi itike ntoya imwe nyene: imwe imwe itwara igice kimwe, nyinshi nta co zitanga, kandi nk'imwe mu icenda iriha indwi. Ugushoboka kwo kurangiza igihe c'ugukina c'inzunguruka 100 wunguka ni guke (nka 30%) kubera ko ibihe vyinshi vy'ugukina bidafise imizingi yarangiye ihagije kugira isubize ibihombo bidahagarara vy'igice kimwe; iyo igihe c'ugukina kirangiye wunguka, akenshi kirangira wunguka cane.

Ibihe cumi vy'ugukina vya Paroli, $10 fatizoivyavuyemwo ugereranije n'intango
+$790$0−$500+$340−$2500125250375500inzungurukaivyavuyemwo
ibihe vyo gukina 1.000 × ukuzunguruka 500 · ibara ry'urwungu p10/p25/p75/p90, ubururu bwerurutse hagati, uturorero 82 tudasa · nyuza akamenyetso hejuru y'igishushanyo kugira ubone ibipimo ku kuzunguruka
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • hagati −$300
  • p75 +$30
  • p90 +$320
ibihe vyo gukina 1.000 × ukuzunguruka 500 · umurongo uhagaze ugarukira ku ijanisha rya 1–99 (impera −$500 gushika +$1.150) · ukuzunguruka 500 · intango $10 · rimwe kuri rimwe
Ingazi zimanuka, rimwe na rimwe intambwe iduga. Nta mikore.
Nk'itike ntoya iguzwe incuro nyinshi: nyinshi nta co zitanga, kandi nk'imwe mu icenda iriha indwi.

Uburyo bwa Paroli burakora?

Oya. Buhindura ishusho y'ibihombo, si ubunini bwavyo. Dufate p = 18/37. Gutsinda 7 ku gushoboka kwa p³ = 0,115; guhomba 1 ku gushoboka kwa 1 − p³ = 0,885. Ivyavuyemwo bitezwe kuri buri muzingi: 7(0,115) − 1(0,885) = 0,805 − 0,885 = −0,08 vy'ibice. Ibice bitezwe vyatezwe kuri buri muzingi: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0,973 + 0,947 = 2,92. Gabanya: −0,08 / 2,92 = −2,7%. Uburyo bwose butanga iki gitigiri iyo ugabanije.

Iciyumviro gikwega ni uko amajetoniamaheraJetoniIkimenyetso gihagararira amahera adahinduka, gishirwa ku kibaho c'amatego kugira ngo utege. Kandi citwa: check.Soma vyose → yasubiye gutegwa ari amahera ya kazino, rero kuyatega nta co bitwara. Ni ayawe kuva igihe ariheweko, kandi imwe imwe isubijwe ku meza itwara 2,70% nk'izindi.

Bigenda gute nurindira intsinzi zine zikurikirana?

Paroliingendo yo gutegaParoliIyongerekana ryemeza: kuba kabiri inyuma y'itsinzi, gusubira ku ntango inyuma y'igihombo canke inyuma y'itsinzi zitatu zikurikirana. Kandi bita: Martingale ihindukiye.Soma vyose → gushika ku ntsinzi zine ihindura igice kimwe kikaba 16, inyungu ya 15, ku gushoboka kwa (18/37)⁴ = 5,6%. Taylor (2021) abaza ikibazo gikarishe kuruta: ufise amahera yo gukinisha y'ibice bike, ugushoboka kwo kuronka urukurikirane rumwe nk'urwo imbere y'uko amahera yawe ashira ni ukuhe? Buri muzingi wahomvye utwara igice kimwe nyene, rero ufise ibice 15 inyishu ni 1 − (1 − 0,056)¹⁵ = 58%, biruta 48,6% vyo gushira 15 vyose ku gitukuraitegoGitukuraItego rya rimwe kuri rimwe ku nomero 18 zitukura. Mu gifaransa: rouge.Soma vyose → icarimwe. Ingorane iboneka mu bindi bitigiri. Urukurikirane akenshi ruza inyuma y'imizingi myinshi yahomvye, rero inyungu iyo ruje ingana ku mpuzandengo n'ibice 9, si 15, kandi kubera ko iyongerekanaingendo yo gutegaIyongerekanaItegeko ryose rihindura amahera y'itego hisunzwe ivyavuyemwo vyabanje. Iyongerekana rihakana riyongereza inyuma y'ibihombo, iryemeza inyuma y'itsinzi.Soma vyose → ritega vyinshi kuruta hamwe, ivyavuyemwo vyaryo ku mpuzandengo ni bibi kuruta ivy'itego rimwe.

amahera yo gukinisha, ibiceugushoboka kw'urukurikirane rw'intsinzi zine imbere y'uko ashiraivyavuyemwo nyakuri ku mpuzandengo iyo rujeivyavuyemwo ku mpuzandengo
315,9%+14,0−0,29
836,9%+11,8−0,68
1557,9%+9,1−1,07
3082,3%+4,6−1,52
Igitukura ku ruziga rufise zeru imwe, igice fatizo kimwe, guhagarara ku rukurikirane rwa mbere rw'intsinzi zine canke iyo amahera yo gukinisha ashize. Mu kugereranya, itego rimwe ry'ibice 15 ku gitukura ritsinda 15 ku gushoboka kwa 48,6%, kandi ivyavuyemwo vyaryo ku mpuzandengo ni −0,41 vy'ibice.

Aho uhagarara harahambaye?

Ku ishusho gusa. Paroli gushika ku ntsinzi zibiri (fata 3) canke intsinzi zine (fata 15) ihindura incuro zo gufata n'igihembo, si inyungu ya kazino. “Parlay” ku itego rya straight up (ureka itsinzi rya 35 kuri 1 rigasubira gutegwa) ni iciyumviro kimwe na p = 1/37 n'irihaamaheraIrihaIvyo itego ritsinze rizana, bivugwa nka “X kuri 1” hiyongereyeko amahera y'itego asubizwa.Soma vyose → rya 1.295 kuri 1 ku gufata kabiri gukurikirana, ico ni co gituma ahanini ari inkuru atari ivyo abantu bakora.

Ni bande bayihitamwo, kandi kubera iki?

Abakinyi bashaka igihombo ntarengwa gitoya kizwi kuri buri muzingi kandi bemera gutakaza buhoro kugira ngo babe bashobora gutsinda vyinshi. Ni indorerwamo y'ivyiyumviro ya Martingaleingendo yo gutegaMartingaleIyongerekana rikuba kabiri itego inyuma y'igihombo cose. Raba igice c'Ingendo zo gutega umenye ivyo bukora n'ivyo budakora.Soma vyose →: Martingale ikwiyumvisha ko utsinda gushika ku joro utatsinze; Paroli ikwiyumvisha ko uhomba gushika ku joro utahomvye. Kazino ifata 2,70% vy'igiteranyo c'amategoamaheraIgiteranyo c'amategoIgiteranyo c'amahera yose yateze mu gihe c'ugukina canke mu kiringo, harimwo n'ivyatsinzwe vyongeye gutegwa. Kandi bita: handle, action.Soma vyose → uko vyogenda kwose.

Igikoresho co kwigana · Paroli

Ibihe vyo gukina 2.000 vy'amatego ya rimwe kuri rimwe uhereye ku mahera yo gukinisha ya $1.000.

Itego ry'intango $10 · urugero rw'ameza $500 · ukuzunguruka 100 ku gihe c'ugukina

Ukuntu ivyavuyemwo vy'ibihe vyo gukina bigabanijweigihombo ← | → inyungu
−$620$0+$770
shira akamenyetso ku murongo · imirongo itukura ni ibihe vyo gukina vyahombye, iyibisi ni ivyungutse, umurongo werurutse uri hagati ya $0
ibihe vyo gukina vyungutse
36,8%
ivyavuyemwo vya hagati
−$60
ivyavuyemwo vy'impuzandengo
−$54,99
vyatakaje vyose
0,0%
ijanisha rya 5
−$370
igabanuka rinini ryo hagati
−$230

Ibibazo

Paroli, ingendo ya Martingale ihindukiranye muri ruleti, irafise umutekano kuruta Martingale?

Ifise umutekano kuruta mu buryo ko idashobora gutanga igihombo kimwe c'amakuba. Ntihenda bike kuruta: igihombo citezwe kuri buri gice gitezwe ni kimwe.

Nkwiye guhagarara ku ntsinzi zitatu?

Aho uhagarara hose ni kimwe mu mibare. Zitatu ni zo zimenyerewe kubera ko igihembo (ibice 7) gisa n'igikwiye kurindirwa kandi incuro zo gufata (11,5%) si nke cane.

Agakuru ko gutwenga

Gusubira gutega intsinzi na vyo ni ugutega.

Gusubira gutega intsinzi na vyo ni ugutega.

Aho Twakuye

  1. RouletteDoc. Incamake y'ingendo zo gutega muri ruleti. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Insobanuro y'ingendo n'uturorero. https://roulette77.us/strategies/reverse-martingale
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Igice ca 13, ruleti.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
  5. Taylor, D. G. Games, Gambling, and Probability: An Introduction to Mathematics, 2nd ed. CRC Press, 2021.
vyasubiwemwo 2026-09-28icitegererezo: ruleti y'i Buraya, zeru imweuburyo dukoresha ↗amasoko ↗