Ingero Zikurikiranye · Urugendo rw'ukwigana · iminota 8

Akarorero: Umugoroba wa $100 kuri Gitukura

Amadolari ijana, amajetoni y'amadolari atanu, gitukura ku kuzunguruka kwose, n'itegeko ryo guhagarara. Ukuzunguruka ku kundi.

Inyishu ngufi

Umugoroba wo kwigana ku meza y'imbonankubone: gushika ku kuzunguruka 60 kwa $5 ku gitukura, uhereye ku mahera $100 wateganije, ufise urugero rw'igihombo rwa $50 n'urugero rw'inyungu rwa $50. Urugero rw'igihombo rwarawuhagaritse ku kuzunguruka 36. Iki gihe c'ugukina cerekana ingene ihindagurika risa iyo uribona ako kanya, n'igituma itegeko ryo guhagarara ari ryo ngingo yonyene yari ihambaye.

amahera wateganije
$100
amahera y'itego
$5 ku gitukura
amategeko yo guhagarara
−$50 / +$50
igihombo citezwe
$8,11 mu kuzunguruka 60

Umugambi

Hoba hariho ingendo yo gutega iruta izindi kuri ruleti ufise $100? Nta n'imwe igabanya ikiguzi ku mpuzandengo. Ayo mahera ni amahera dushobora guhomba; ico duhitamwo ni amahera y'itego n'amategeko yo guhagarara. Tega $5, ni 5% vy'amahera wateganije, bikaduha nk'amatego makumyabiri ahomba mu ntoke. Urugero rw'igihomboingendo yo gutegaUrugero rw'igihomboIgitigiri c'igihombo cashinzwe imbere, ushitseko ugahagarika igihe c'ugukina.Soma vyose → kuri −$50 n'urugero rw'inyunguingendo yo gutegaUrugero rw'inyunguIntumbero y'inyungu yashinzwe imbere, ushitseko ugahagarika igihe c'ugukina.Soma vyose → kuri +$50, vyemejwe ubu. Igihombo citezweimibareIgihombo citezweAgaciro kitezwe gakubwe n'amahera yose yateze; ni amahera y'impuzandengo atakara mu gihe c'ugukina canke mu gihe runaka.Soma vyose → mu kuzunguruka 60 ni 60 × $5 / 37 = $8,11. Twitega kugenda dufise nka $92, kandi n'ugushobokaimibareUgushobokaUgushoboka kw'ivyavuyemwo, kuva kuri 0 gushika kuri 1 canke 0% gushika 100%. Inomero imwe: 1/37 = 2,70%.Soma vyose → kubereye tukaba hagati ya $20 na $170.

Ukuzunguruka 1–20

R B B R R 0 B R R B R B B B R R B R B R. GitukuraitegoGitukuraItego rya rimwe kuri rimwe ku nomero 18 zitukura. Mu gifaransa: rouge.Soma vyose → cumi, ciraburaitegoCiraburaItego rya rimwe kuri rimwe ku nomero 18 zirabura. Mu gifaransa: noir.Soma vyose → icenda, zeruuruzigaZeruAkazu kamwe k'icatsi kibisi kadapfukwa n'itego rya rimwe kuri rimwe, ry'umurwi canke ry'inkingi; ni yo soko y'inyungu ya kazino. Kandi bita: zeru imwe, 0.Soma vyose → imwe: +$50 − $45 − $5 = $0. Amahera asigaye $100. Zeru ku kuzunguruka 6 yatwaye jetoniamaheraJetoniIkimenyetso gihagararira amahera adahinduka, gishirwa ku kibaho c'amatego kugira ngo utege. Kandi citwa: check.Soma vyose → imwe, kandi ku 1/37 yaje imbere gatoyi. Nta kidasanzwe kiri ng'aha. Turi ku rugero rumwe inyuma y'ukuzunguruka makumyabiri.

ukuzungurukaivyavuyemwoivyavuye mu itegoamahera asigaye
1gitukura+$5$105
2–3cirabura, cirabura−$10$95
4–5gitukura, gitukura+$10$105
6zeru−$5$100
7cirabura−$5$95
8–9gitukura, gitukura+$10$105
10–14B R B B B−$15$90
15–16gitukura, gitukura+$10$100
17–20B R B R$0$100
Urukurikirane rwiganwe ruvuye ku ruziga rutabogamye. Urwawe ruzotandukana mu tuntu twose, ariko si mu bitigiri vy'imibare.

Ukuzunguruka 21–36

B B B B B R B B R B B R B B B B. Cirabura zitanu mu ntango, cumi n'itatu zose hamwe: gitukura zitatu, cirabura cumi n'itatu, +$15 − $65 = −$50. Amahera asigaye $50. Iki ni co gice gituma abantu bahindura itego ryabo, bakikuba kabiri canke bagahindura ibara. Ugushoboka kw'ukuboneka cirabura 13 canke zirenga mu kuzunguruka 16 kuri munsi ya 1%; vyari bigiye gushikira umuntu umwe muri iri joro. Turi munsi ya $50 ugereranije n'intango, urugero rw'igihombo rurashika ku kuzunguruka 36, tukahaguruka.

Cirabura cumi n'itatu mu kuzunguruka cumi na gatandatu, urugero rw'igihombo rugashika ku kuzunguruka 36.

Ukuzunguruka 37–60, tutariho

R B R B, hanyuma R R B R 0 R B R R B R R B B R R B R B R. Gitukura cumi n'ine, cirabura icenda, zeru imwe: iyo tuguma, +$70 − $45 − $5 = +$20 n'amahera asigaye $70 ku kuzunguruka 60. Ukuzunguruka mirongo itatu na gatandatu ku meza y'imbonankubone ni nk'iminota 45. Twagiye dufise $50, munsi ya $50, mu gihe hitezwe −$4,86 ku kuzunguruka 36. Gitukura cumi n'itatu, cirabura makumyabiri na zibiri, zeru imwe.

Umugoroba wacu, n'iyindi cumi n'umwe yashobora kubaivyavuyemwo ugereranije n'intango
+$190$0−$100+$80−$500125250375500inzungurukaivyavuyemwo
ibihe vyo gukina 1.000 × ukuzunguruka 500 · ibara ry'urwungu p10/p25/p75/p90, ubururu bwerurutse hagati, uturorero 82 tudasa · nyuza akamenyetso hejuru y'igishushanyo kugira ubone ibipimo ku kuzunguruka
  • p10 −$100
  • p25 −$100
  • hagati −$100
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$70
ibihe vyo gukina 1.000 × ukuzunguruka 500 · umurongo uhagaze ugarukira ku ijanisha rya 1–99 (impera −$100 gushika +$300) · ukuzunguruka 500 · intango $5 · rimwe kuri rimwe
Umwe muri iyi ni nk'umugoroba wacu. Iyindi ni umugambi umwe mu yandi majoro. Urugero rw'igihombo rwa $50 rwari guhagarika ibiri muri yo hakiri kare; urugero rw'inyungu rwa $50 rwari guhagarika umwe.

Ivyabaye

Twarihe nka $5 ku minota 45 ya ruleti, wongereko $45 z'umuhirwe mubi. Gitukura cumi n'itatu mu kuzunguruka 36 kiri munsi cane ya 17,5 yitezwe, kandi kubura gitukura icenda ugereranije na cirabura ni −$45 imbere ya zeru. Umugoroba wafashwe ingingo n'ihindagurika ry'ivyavuyemwoimibareIhindagurika ry'IvyavuyemwoIgipimo c'ukuntu ivyavuyemwo bikwiragira kure y'agaciro kitezwe. Kinini kuri straight up, gito ku matego ya rimwe kuri rimwe.Soma vyose →; igiciro cafashwe n'amahera y'itego n'inzunguruka; urugero rw'igihombo rwafashe ingingo y'igihe urangira. Kuguma vyari kugarura $20 ku kuzunguruka 60, kandi ico si imvo yo kuguma: ukugaruka nako kwari ihindagurika, kimwe n'urukurikirane rwa cirabura rwaje imbere yaho.

Ivyo tutakoze

Guhindura amahera y'itego inyuma y'igihombo (ico ni iyongerekanaingendo yo gutegaIyongerekanaItegeko ryose rihindura amahera y'itego hisunzwe ivyavuyemwo vyabanje. Iyongerekana rihakana riyongereza inyuma y'ibihombo, iryemeza inyuma y'itsinzi.Soma vyose →, kandi kiduza igiteranyo c'amategoamaheraIgiteranyo c'amategoIgiteranyo c'amahera yose yateze mu gihe c'ugukina canke mu kiringo, harimwo n'ivyatsinzwe vyongeye gutegwa. Kandi bita: handle, action.Soma vyose →). Guhindura ibara inyuma y'urukurikirane rwa cirabura (ugushoboka ni kumwe). Kuguma kurenza ukuzunguruka 60 kubera ko twari “hafi kungana” (ico ni ugusubira kuganira ku rugero rw'igihombo). Gutega ku murwi w'inomero cumi n'ibiriitegoUmurwi1–12, 13–24 canke 25–36, riha 2:1.Soma vyose → “utari wasohoka” (inyungu ya kazino ni imwe, ishusho itandukanye). Ikintu cose muri ivyo cari guhindura ishusho y'umugoroba, ariko nta na kimwe cari guhindura ikiguzi cawo citezwe.

Ibibazo

Kubera iki $5 aho kuba $10?

Amajetoni makumyabiri mu ntoke aho kuba cumi. Umugoroba urarama; ikiguzi ku kuzunguruka kimwe kigabanuka kabiri.

Ameza ya ruleti y'Ubufaransa yari gufasha?

Igihombo citezwe $4,05 aho kuba $8,11. Ego.

Urukurikirane rwa cirabura rwari ikimenyetso?

C'ikintu na kimwe. Cirabura cumi n'itatu mu kuzunguruka cumi na gatandatu biba nk'umugoroba umwe mu 125.

Agakuru ko gutwenga

Amahera y'itego n'inzunguruka bishinga igiciro. Uruziga rushinga umutima.

Amahera y'itego n'inzunguruka bishinga igiciro. Uruziga rushinga umutima.

Aho Twakuye

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Igice ca 13, ruleti.
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